Round 77: Grab Bag 3: Grab Harder

Hmm....I'll vote Zink for a change.

Aboi - 1 - Alpar
Zink - 1 - Link

>Ninja Oppai
[YURI INTENSIFIES]
Zyqvote.

Aboi - 1 - Alpar
Zink - 1 - Link
Zyq - 1 - Scept

Obligatory round one no lynch

Aboi - 1 - Alpar
Zink - 1 - Link
Zyq - 1 - Scept
No Lynch - 1 - Aboi

Cloak vote


Aboi - 1 - Alpar
Cloak - 1 - spp
Zink - 1 - Link
Zyq - 1 - Scept
No Lynch - 1 - Aboi

Alpar vote

Aboi - 1 - Alpar
Alpar - 1 - Axel
Cloak - 1 - spp
Zink - 1 - Link
Zyq - 1 - Scept
No Lynch - 1 - Aboi

6/14

Well we certainly have a nice variety of choices out here for lynch. Don't think we need any more at the moment... which means I get to break this massive one way tie. And I know of only one logical way to do that:

Aboi - 1 - Alpar
Alpar - 1 - Axel
Cloak - 1 - spp
Zink - 1 - Link
Zyq - 1 - Scept
No Lynch - 2 - Aboi, Rainboy

7/14

PS: 7th voter, ftw.

Yeah. I wanted to do what Rain just did but thought I might get some slack for that. Guess I'll follow suit for now.

Aboi - 1 - Alpar
Alpar - 1 - Axel
Cloak - 1 - spp
Zink - 1 - Link
Zyq - 1 - Scept
No Lynch - 3 - Aboi, Rainboy, Zink

8/14

Zink120 wrote:Yeah. I wanted to do what Rain just did but thought I might get some slack for that. Guess I'll follow suit for now.

Slack is overrated. And so is flack, come to think of it.

Scept hates me so we should lynch him.

Aboi - 1 - Alpar
Alpar - 1 - Axel
Cloak - 1 - spp
Scept - 1 - Zyquux
Zink - 1 - Link
Zyq - 1 - Scept
No Lynch - 2 - Aboi, Rainboy

8/14

I'm scared by how accurate that story post was to the actual fluff...

Anyway

Aboi - 1 - Alpar
Alpar - 1 - Axel
Cloak - 1 - spp
Scept - 1 - Zyquux
Zink - 1 - Link
Zyq - 1 - Scept
No Lynch - 4 - Aboi, Rainboy, Zink, Cael

8/14

Oh wait, Stalin is in this round.

Aboi - 1 - Alpar
Alpar - 1 - Axel
Cloak - 1 - spp
Stalin - 1 - Zyquux
Zink - 1 - Link
Zyq - 1 - Scept
No Lynch - 4 - Aboi, Rainboy, Zink, Cael

10/14

Shit I missed it but polls closed half an hour ago.

Nothing happened.

Nothing at all.

No lynch (again) - 1 - Aboi

Well. That was a useless round for everyone involved except the peekers.

I'm tempted to tempt fate and throw my hat in with Aboi. I don't fancy No Lynch after R1... but this is an extraordinary situation - we have literally no information at all beyond what we had R1.

I think I'll hold my vote for now.

I'm holding my vote there until the Eyes speak up.  There's no point in lynching people off blind.

Well.
That gives me.

...Jack all to go off of.

Voting Rain. I've nothing to go off but we can't just sit and do nothing, waiting for someone to give us an answer. That's how we end up with no new information after day 1.

Rain - 1 - Link

We end up with no new information but we also didn't start lynching people for no reason. If we get a townie and the mafia kills one of us off, we're down two townie compared to the one.

That's twisted logic. At least we have a chance to get a mafia if we try, otherwise we're just giving the mafia a free kill, on the merit of not having enough info. Which is a bad idea to try later when we have less townies as opposed to more, and are easier to manipulate.
Sticking to my day 1 guns

Rain - 1 - Link
Aboi - 1 - Alpar
2/14

Voting Spp

Rain - 1 - Link
Aboi - 1 - Alpar
Vwllss - 1 - Scept
3/14

Self defense vote in case I'm not around again until lynch. Will probably change later if I'm on before round end.

Rain - 1 - Link
Aboi - 2 - Alpar, Rainboy
Vwllss - 1 - Scept
4/14

It's not twisted logic, it's that I'd rather go -1 tonight rather than -2. There's (more than likely) only 3-4 Mafia and if I'd rather try to vote into a pool of 13 and try to hit 4 than I would 14. Yeah, we let townies die off but I'd rather be down one with no information than be down two with no information.

Assuming 4 mafia out of 14 total. 4/14 = .28, or 28% (100%-28% = 72%), meaning if we try and lynch tonight, we have a 72% chance of missing and lynching an additional townie. 

Compared to us eating a townie tonight, we'll have a 4/13 chance, or 70% chance to miss tomorrow. It's not much difference but it counts, and if we start lynching off townies every night we'll start eating a -2 loss at a worst case scenario until one of us smells out a mafia. 

No information, no lynch. Eyes need to speak up.

Rain - 1 - Link
Aboi - 2 - Alpar, Rainboy
Vwllss - 1 - Scept
No Lynch - 1 - Aboi
5/14

I'm suspicious of Aboi going no lynch again but I understand the reasoning.
When in doubt, vote Cloak.

Rain - 1 - Link
Aboi - 2 - Alpar, Rainboy
Vwllss - 1 - Scept
Cloak - 1 - Zyquux
No Lynch - 1 - Aboi
6/14

Voting no lynch because I think aboi has a point. The more days we have, the more peeks we get.

Rain - 1 - Link
Aboi - 2 - Alpar, Rainboy
Vwllss - 1 - Scept
Cloak - 1 - Zyquux
No Lynch - 2 - Aboi, Cloak
8/14